| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Albany (2-9, 1-7) | W 28-6 | 6.24 | 4.36 | +1.88 | 89.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Valparaiso (4-7, 4-4) | W 64-0 | 11.90 | 2.89 | +9.01 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Towson (4-7, 3-5) | W 35-7 | 8.50 | 3.45 | +5.05 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #11 North Dakota (5-6, 3-5) | W 16-10 | 4.83 | 4.74 | +0.09 | 52.26%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs #12 Northern Iowa (6-6, 4-4) | W 34-20 | 5.67 | 6.05 | -0.38 | 40.50%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Illinois State (4-7, 2-6) | W 20-0 | 4.64 | 1.98 | +2.66 | 95.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs #18 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | W 27-20 | 5.46 | 5.63 | -0.17 | 45.60%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Indiana State (5-6, 3-5) | W 44-2 | 8.67 | 3.87 | +4.80 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at #12 South Dakota State (11-4, 5-3) | L 19-27 | 6.29 | 5.54 | +0.75 | 68.54%
| -2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Youngstown State (3-7, 2-6) | W 49-17 | 10.56 | 4.43 | +6.13 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #16 South Dakota (7-5, 5-4) | W 52-24 | 7.46 | 5.43 | +2.03 | 91.07%
| +1 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Southern Illinois (8-5, 6-4) | W 38-7 | 6.28 | 4.76 | +1.51 | 83.87%
| -1 |
| Dec 11December 11 | vs East Tennessee State (11-2, 7-1) | W 27-3 | 6.08 | 2.85 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| 0 |
| Dec 17December 17 (Fri) | vs James Madison (12-2, 7-1) | W 20-14 | 5.47 | 5.00 | +0.47 | 61.73%
| +2 |
| Jan 8January 8 | vs Montana State (12-3, 7-1) * | W 38-10 | 7.67 | 5.15 | +2.51 | 95.12%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 14-1, 8-1 | 6.93 | 4.43 | +2.499 | 12.21-2.79 (+1.79) | +10 |