| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Wyoming (8-6, 6-3) | L 34-40 | 6.08 | 5.74 | +0.34 | 58.51%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at South Florida (11-2, 7-1) | L 17-48 | 4.18 | 7.39 | -3.21 | 2.83%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs San Diego State (11-3, 7-2) | L 28-42 | 4.97 | 6.31 | -1.34 | 19.16%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #13 Western Illinois (6-5, 3-5) | L 23-28 | 7.17 | 6.11 | +1.06 | 75.29%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Ball State (4-8, 1-7) | W 31-24 | 7.51 | 5.02 | +2.48 | 94.93%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at #25 Western Michigan (13-1, 9-0) | L 30-45 | 6.63 | 7.74 | -1.11 | 23.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Central Michigan (6-7, 3-5) | L 28-34 | 5.06 | 5.69 | -0.63 | 34.21%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Buffalo (2-10, 1-7) | W 44-7 | 6.31 | 4.83 | +1.48 | 83.30%
| +3 |
| Nov 1November 1 (Tue) | vs Bowling Green (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-20 | 5.99 | 4.03 | +1.96 | 90.28%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 (Wed) | vs Toledo (9-4, 6-2) * | L 24-31 | 5.13 | 5.75 | -0.63 | 34.42%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Wed) | at Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 6.30 | 5.05 | +1.25 | 79.04%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at Kent State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-21 | 5.03 | 5.92 | -0.89 | 28.28%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 5-3 | 5.87 | 5.79 | +0.082 | 6.24-5.76 (-1.24) | -1 |