| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | W 38-21 | 4.82 | 6.78 | -1.96 | 9.70%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #17 Northern Arizona (5-6, 4-4) | W 34-20 | 7.28 | 6.64 | +0.64 | 65.96%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Northern Illinois (5-7, 5-3) | W 28-23 | 6.11 | 7.17 | -1.06 | 24.68%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #16 South Dakota State (9-4, 7-2) | L 14-52 | 5.18 | 7.71 | -2.53 | 4.80%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Indiana State (4-7, 2-6) | W 36-35 | | | | | |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Missouri State (4-7, 2-6) | W 38-35 | 5.24 | 5.99 | -0.75 | 31.59%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs #4 North Dakota State (12-2, 8-1) | L 13-21 | 4.48 | 5.85 | -1.37 | 18.62%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #25 South Dakota (4-7, 3-5) | W 35-34 | 6.88 | 5.86 | +1.02 | 74.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | L 26-31 | | | | | |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | L 23-30 | 4.56 | 5.46 | -0.90 | 28.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 34-44 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 3-5 | 5.58 | 6.42 | -0.845 | 2.58-5.42 (+3.42) | +1 |