| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 16-41 | 4.37 | 6.43 | -2.06 | 8.62%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 23-48 | 4.27 | 7.73 | -3.47 | 2.70%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #2 Alabama (12-1, 8-1) | L 0-41 | 2.68 | 9.76 | -7.08 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Indiana (1-11, 0-8) | W 24-21 | 6.28 | 5.35 | +0.92 | 72.41%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Tulsa (8-5, 7-1) | L 24-41 | 4.96 | 7.36 | -2.39 | 5.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 31-17 | 3.56 | 4.81 | -1.25 | 20.78%
| +3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 10-30 | 3.94 | 6.45 | -2.51 | 4.90%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-21 | 6.58 | 5.47 | +1.11 | 76.38%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 14-37 | 5.10 | 6.83 | -1.73 | 12.80%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-33 | 6.80 | 5.63 | +1.17 | 77.60%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | L 21-31 | 5.75 | 6.19 | -0.44 | 38.86%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 59-7 | 6.41 | 3.55 | +2.86 | 96.60%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 5.09 | 6.28 | -1.185 | 4.17-7.83 (+0.83) | +10 |