| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Notre Dame (8-5) | L 12-23 | 4.81 | 5.94 | -1.12 | 23.33%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Western Illinois (8-5, 5-3) | W 31-21 | 5.53 | 5.81 | -0.28 | 42.98%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-13 | 5.65 | 4.63 | +1.02 | 74.45%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Toledo (8-5, 7-1) | L 20-31 | 5.00 | 5.86 | -0.86 | 29.11%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at #25 Northwestern (7-6, 3-5) | W 20-17 | 4.65 | 5.01 | -0.36 | 40.84%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Minnesota (3-9, 2-7) | W 28-17 | 5.96 | 4.09 | +1.87 | 89.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at #10 Ohio State (12-1, 7-1) | L 0-49 | 2.55 | 6.95 | -4.40 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Illinois (7-6, 4-4) | L 10-44 | 3.93 | 5.65 | -1.73 | 12.79%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs #9 Wisconsin (11-2, 9-2) | L 13-34 | 4.17 | 5.47 | -1.29 | 20.05%
| -3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Michigan (7-6, 3-5) | L 16-27 | 3.86 | 5.13 | -1.27 | 20.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at #12 Michigan State (11-2, 7-1) | L 31-35 | 6.20 | 5.99 | +0.21 | 55.36%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Indiana (5-7, 1-7) | L 31-34 | 5.17 | 4.98 | +0.19 | 54.83%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 4.83 | 5.45 | -0.620 | 4.63-7.37 (-0.63) | -6 |