| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Fri) | vs Arizona (7-6, 5-5) | L 2-41 | 3.88 | 7.65 | -3.77 | 2.50%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Ohio (8-5, 6-2) | W 20-13 | 3.28 | 3.63 | -0.35 | 41.25%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Western Michigan (6-6, 5-3) | W 37-24 | 4.90 | 5.13 | -0.24 | 44.02%
| +4 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Purdue (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-20 | 5.86 | 5.00 | +0.86 | 70.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Wyoming (3-9, 1-7) | L 15-20 | 5.25 | 4.02 | +1.24 | 78.84%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at #4 Boise State (12-1, 7-1) | L 14-57 | 5.18 | 7.94 | -2.75 | 3.75%
| -5 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | W 34-21 | 4.96 | 4.93 | +0.03 | 50.78%
| +3 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 6.56 | 5.48 | +1.08 | 75.74%
| +3 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 2-6) | W 42-7 | 7.72 | 4.76 | +2.96 | 96.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 (Tue) | at Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) | L 30-65 | 6.25 | 8.46 | -2.21 | 7.15%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Wed) | vs Bowling Green (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-14 | 7.36 | 4.00 | +3.36 | 97.26%
| +3 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | vs Central Michigan (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-31 | 6.36 | 5.92 | +0.44 | 61.06%
| +3 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Sun) | vs Florida International (7-6, 6-2) * | L 32-34 | 6.50 | 5.11 | +1.39 | 81.77%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 7-1 | 5.71 | 5.55 | +0.168 | 7.12-5.88 (+0.88) | +11 |