| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at #24 Missouri (5-7, 1-7) | L 3-34 | 2.98 | 6.26 | -3.28 | 2.78%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Southern Illinois (3-8, 2-6) | W 27-24 | 4.81 | 5.94 | -1.12 | 23.34%
| +7 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #25 Indiana State (5-6, 3-5) | L 28-29 | 5.81 | 5.77 | +0.05 | 51.19%
| -2 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Shorter (1-1) | L 21-26 | 6.73 | 6.21 | +0.52 | 62.89%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Murray State (3-8, 2-6) | W 27-10 | 6.60 | 6.08 | +0.52 | 63.01%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 7-1) | L 28-33 | 5.39 | 6.07 | -0.68 | 33.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs #15 Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-3) | L 10-27 | 2.85 | 6.22 | -3.36 | 2.74%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Tennessee Tech (4-7, 3-5) | W 38-17 | 6.32 | 4.92 | +1.39 | 81.81%
| +3 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 44-15 | 5.32 | 4.08 | +1.24 | 78.88%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at #1 Jacksonville State (13-2, 8-0) | L 28-56 | 4.61 | 8.12 | -3.51 | 2.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs UT Martin (7-4, 6-2) | L 25-28 | 5.49 | 5.87 | -0.39 | 40.25%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 3-4 | 5.16 | 5.98 | -0.820 | 4.43-6.57 (-0.43) | +10 |