| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 24-52 | 5.78 | 7.57 | -1.79 | 11.86%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at Wofford (5-6, 3-4) | L 14-34 | 4.42 | 6.91 | -2.49 | 4.99%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Mercer (5-6, 2-5) | W 29-22 | 6.38 | 4.78 | +1.59 | 85.17%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Murray State (3-8, 2-6) | W 31-29 | 4.94 | 6.48 | -1.55 | 15.55%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs UT Martin (7-4, 6-2) | L 17-31 | 3.11 | 5.35 | -2.24 | 6.87%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 (Thu) | at #20 Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-3) * | L 17-48 | 3.35 | 6.99 | -3.64 | 2.62%
| +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs #3 Jacksonville State (13-2, 8-0) | L 13-42 | 4.29 | 7.12 | -2.83 | 3.51%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 7-1) | L 20-51 | | | | | |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-4) | L 17-38 | 4.92 | 6.32 | -1.39 | 18.16%
| -3 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 42-24 | 9.27 | 5.00 | +4.27 | 99.42%
| -1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Tennessee State (4-6, 1-6) | W 30-24 | 5.30 | 4.30 | +1.00 | 74.03%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 3-5 | 5.05 | 6.09 | -1.033 | 3.22-6.78 (+0.78) | +4 |