| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 21-48 | 4.83 | 8.67 | -3.84 | 2.39%
| +3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Dayton (6-5, 5-3) | W 40-21 | 8.29 | 5.69 | +2.60 | 95.61%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Southern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 48-44 | 7.38 | 6.15 | +1.23 | 78.71%
| +3 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | L 14-23 | 4.31 | 4.47 | -0.16 | 45.83%
| -4 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 70-38 | 9.35 | 6.84 | +2.51 | 95.10%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Austin Peay (5-6, 3-5) | W 31-27 | 6.21 | 6.50 | -0.29 | 42.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs #4 Jacksonville State (9-4, 7-1) | W 37-14 | 5.07 | 5.55 | -0.48 | 37.87%
| +5 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 56-33 | 7.53 | 6.13 | +1.40 | 81.83%
| +4 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Tennessee State (4-5, 3-4) | W 38-21 | 6.72 | 6.68 | +0.04 | 50.95%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Murray State (5-6, 5-3) | L 38-40 | 4.50 | 5.34 | -0.84 | 29.45%
| +4 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-8, 3-5) | W 38-32 | 4.88 | 6.02 | -1.14 | 22.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs #16 Stony Brook (7-5, 5-3) | W 28-14 | 3.69 | 4.54 | -0.85 | 29.29%
| +4 |
| Dec 1December 1 | at Weber State (10-3, 6-1) | L 23-48 | 4.06 | 5.68 | -1.62 | 14.39%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.97 | 5.99 | -0.024 | 6.27-6.73 (+2.73) | +24 |