| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | vs South Alabama (4-7, 3-5) | L 21-32 | 5.93 | 7.74 | -1.81 | 11.66% | +2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Louisiana Tech (5-5, 4-2) | L 30-31 | 6.28 | 4.95 | +1.34 | 80.73% | 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Tulane (6-6, 3-5) | L 24-66 | 5.33 | 7.63 | -2.30 | 6.38% | -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at North Texas (4-6, 3-4) | W 41-31 | 5.75 | 5.68 | +0.07 | 51.70% | +2 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Liberty (10-1) | L 35-56 | 6.12 | 7.91 | -1.79 | 11.85% | 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Rice (2-3, 2-3) | L 6-30 | 5.28 | 6.15 | -0.87 | 28.67% | -2 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs North Alabama (0-4) | W 24-13 | 5.57 | 3.37 | +2.20 | 92.77% | -3 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Western Kentucky (5-7, 4-3) | L 7-10 | 4.33 | 4.34 | -0.01 | 49.74% | 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs UT San Antonio (7-5, 4-2) | L 20-23 | 5.34 | 4.61 | +0.73 | 68.05% | 0 |
| Dec 10December 10 (Thu) | vs Florida Atlantic (5-4, 4-2) | W 45-31 | 7.67 | 4.79 | +2.88 | 96.64% | -2 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 3-7, 2-4 | 5.80 | 5.78 | +0.026 | 4.98-5.02 (-1.98) | -4 |