| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 12September 12 | at Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 51-48 | 6.09 | 6.16 | -0.07 | 48.19%
| +2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Stephen F. Austin (6-4, 1-0) | W 24-10 | 5.93 | 5.64 | +0.29 | 57.30%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 (Fri) | vs Middle Tennessee (3-6, 2-3) | W 37-35 | 5.51 | 6.33 | -0.82 | 29.93%
| +1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at UAB (6-3, 4-1) | L 13-21 | 4.59 | 6.10 | -1.51 | 16.10%
| +3 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at #15 BYU (11-1) | L 20-27 | 5.89 | 6.91 | -1.03 | 25.37%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Army (9-3) | L 16-28 | 5.39 | 5.68 | -0.29 | 42.69%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Louisiana Tech (5-5, 4-2) | W 27-26 | 4.43 | 3.74 | +0.68 | 66.90%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Florida Atlantic (5-4, 4-2) | L 3-24 | 3.19 | 4.74 | -1.55 | 15.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs UTEP (3-5, 0-4) | W 52-21 | 7.90 | 4.92 | +2.97 | 96.87%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Southern Mississippi (3-7, 2-4) | W 23-20 | 4.61 | 5.34 | -0.73 | 31.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs North Texas (4-6, 3-4) | W 49-17 | 8.91 | 5.57 | +3.34 | 97.26%
| +2 |
| Dec 26December 26 | vs Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) * | L 24-31 | 6.63 | 5.96 | +0.67 | 66.70%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 4-2 | 5.76 | 5.63 | +0.122 | 5.95-6.05 (+1.05) | +7 |