| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Samford (5-7, 4-4) | W 59-58 | 7.06 | 9.69 | -2.63 | 4.28%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Miami (OH) (8-6, 7-2) | L 17-48 | 4.03 | 6.02 | -1.99 | 9.40%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs UVA-Wise (0-1) | W 31-14 | 4.70 | 3.11 | +1.59 | 85.12%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Western Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 38-24 | 7.73 | 5.43 | +2.30 | 93.67%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 40-29 | 4.56 | 4.27 | +0.29 | 57.31%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #25 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | L 37-43 | 4.53 | 5.38 | -0.86 | 29.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 14-55 | 3.39 | 11.06 | -7.67 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | L 21-58 | 5.50 | 7.40 | -1.90 | 10.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Murray State (4-8, 2-6) | W 17-7 | 4.94 | 4.68 | +0.26 | 56.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Jacksonville State (6-6, 3-5) | W 37-27 | 5.77 | 7.55 | -1.79 | 11.96%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 5-3) | L 10-22 | 2.46 | 5.20 | -2.74 | 3.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Tennessee State (3-9, 2-6) | L 27-37 | 5.93 | 5.88 | +0.06 | 51.42%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 3-5 | 5.11 | 6.06 | -0.956 | 4.13-7.87 (+1.87) | +3 |