| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 12September 12 | at Iowa State (9-3, 8-2) | W 31-14 | 4.86 | 4.27 | +0.59 | 64.68%
| +2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Georgia State (6-4, 4-4) | W 34-31 | 6.83 | 4.60 | +2.22 | 93.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | W 20-18 | 7.55 | 6.67 | +0.88 | 71.42%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Wed) | vs Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 27-30 | 7.65 | 5.75 | +1.90 | 89.50%
| -1 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Fri) | at UAB (6-3, 4-1) | W 24-20 | 4.61 | 4.52 | +0.09 | 52.24%
| +2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 44-34 | 7.31 | 5.23 | +2.08 | 91.56%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | W 27-20 | 6.57 | 5.04 | +1.53 | 84.17%
| +1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs South Alabama (4-7, 3-5) | W 38-10 | 7.03 | 3.67 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 70-20 | 7.20 | 3.74 | +3.45 | 97.30%
| +2 |
| Dec 4December 4 (Fri) | at Appalachian State (9-3, 6-2) | W 24-21 | 3.31 | 4.14 | -0.83 | 29.58%
| +3 |
| Dec 26December 26 | at UT San Antonio (7-5, 4-2) * | W 31-24 | 5.96 | 6.63 | -0.67 | 33.27%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-1, 7-1 | 6.29 | 4.92 | +1.372 | 8.04-2.96 (+1.96) | +10 |