| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs #24 Houston (8-5, 5-3) | L 35-37 | 6.04 | 4.55 | +1.49 | 83.45%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Army (6-6, 1-0) | W 41-38 | 6.32 | 6.71 | -0.39 | 40.22%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #21 Texas (8-5, 6-3) | L 20-41 | 4.86 | 7.78 | -2.92 | 3.25%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Texas Southern (5-6, 4-4) | W 52-24 | 9.07 | 5.66 | +3.41 | 97.28%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Fri) | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | W 45-30 | 7.20 | 6.03 | +1.17 | 77.52%
| -3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 6-2) | W 31-28 | 6.08 | 6.59 | -0.51 | 37.10%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Fri) | at Florida International (4-8, 2-6) | W 30-10 | 5.77 | 4.31 | +1.47 | 83.07%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | W 31-27 | 5.27 | 6.67 | -1.41 | 17.94%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at UAB (7-6, 4-4) | W 44-38 | 6.68 | 7.09 | -0.41 | 39.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 51-7 | 6.82 | 4.18 | +2.64 | 95.78%
| +4 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Rice (5-8, 3-5) | W 41-7 | 7.16 | 3.11 | +4.06 | 98.22%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 8.04 | 7.43 | +0.60 | 64.99%
| +2 |
| Dec 2December 2 (Fri) | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | W 48-27 | 6.72 | 5.28 | +1.44 | 82.55%
| +2 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Fri) | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) * | L 12-18 | 4.66 | 2.32 | +2.34 | 93.98%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 9-0 | 6.37 | 5.52 | +0.847 | 9.15-4.85 (+1.85) | +3 |