| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Rutgers (4-8, 1-6) | L 14-19 | 5.60 | 3.33 | +2.27 | 93.39%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Texas A&M (9-4, 6-2) | L 20-27 | 3.22 | 5.72 | -2.50 | 4.95%
| +4 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Maryland (9-4, 5-3) | L 28-42 | 4.82 | 7.75 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Pittsburgh (8-5, 5-2) | L 17-44 | 4.84 | 7.69 | -2.85 | 3.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 28-21 | 6.47 | 4.51 | +1.96 | 90.23%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | W 34-10 | 6.97 | 4.79 | +2.19 | 92.64%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | L 9-21 | 5.21 | 5.95 | -0.74 | 31.74%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 42-35 | 6.96 | 6.38 | +0.58 | 64.39%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Troy (8-5, 6-2) | W 52-35 | 9.87 | 5.60 | +4.27 | 99.41%
| +3 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | W 38-17 | 5.44 | 5.70 | -0.26 | 43.45%
| +3 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Arkansas State (4-8, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 5.71 | 5.25 | +0.46 | 61.54%
| -1 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Middle Tennessee (6-7, 5-3) | L 27-28 | 6.39 | 6.48 | -0.09 | 47.72%
| -1 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Sun) | at Toledo (8-5, 7-1) * | W 34-32 | 5.11 | 6.50 | -1.39 | 18.21%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 6-2 | 5.85 | 5.81 | +0.039 | 6.54-6.46 (+0.46) | +4 |