| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Jackson State (7-4, 7-2) | W 34-7 | 5.22 | 4.62 | +0.60 | 64.86%
| +6 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | L 39-41 | 5.03 | 6.04 | -1.01 | 25.68%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | at Louisiana Tech (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-15 | 4.55 | 3.85 | +0.70 | 67.22%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Syracuse (7-6, 4-4) | L 17-52 | 4.85 | 5.79 | -0.93 | 27.39%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | W 31-14 | 4.36 | 4.25 | +0.11 | 52.77%
| +4 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs North Texas (9-4, 6-2) | W 24-21 | 3.39 | 5.81 | -2.42 | 5.48%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs East Carolina (10-3, 6-2) | W 36-33 | 4.56 | 6.03 | -1.47 | 16.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | W 14-7 | 4.30 | 4.53 | -0.23 | 44.24%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Florida Atlantic (6-6, 4-4) | L 17-34 | 2.83 | 4.66 | -1.83 | 11.35%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at UT San Antonio (7-5, 6-2) | L 7-10 | 4.70 | 5.83 | -1.13 | 23.21%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-3 | 7.09 | 3.87 | +3.22 | 97.19%
| +3 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Rice (10-4, 8-1) | L 13-17 | 2.37 | 3.66 | -1.30 | 19.95%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | at Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) * | L 21-24 | 6.69 | 4.85 | +1.84 | 88.74%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 4.64 | 4.90 | -0.259 | 5.45-7.55 (+1.55) | +11 |