| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Missouri (6-6, 3-5) | W 37-31 | 6.71 | 5.97 | +0.74 | 68.24%
| +3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 23-14 | 4.37 | 5.84 | -1.47 | 16.86%
| +2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Idaho (5-7, 4-5) | W 21-16 | 4.86 | 4.10 | +0.77 | 68.92%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Tulsa (4-8, 2-6) | L 21-24 | 5.41 | 4.70 | +0.71 | 67.54%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | W 53-17 | 8.30 | 4.42 | +3.88 | 97.70%
| +3 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at San Diego State (10-3, 5-3) | L 22-26 | 5.02 | 4.84 | +0.18 | 54.56%
| -2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | W 23-10 | 4.93 | 5.72 | -0.79 | 30.48%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | W 31-3 | 7.60 | 4.59 | +3.01 | 96.94%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #22 Boise State (12-2, 9-0) | L 17-20 | 4.22 | 4.83 | -0.61 | 34.87%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Utah State (7-6, 6-2) | L 21-26 | 4.34 | 5.34 | -1.00 | 25.94%
| -2 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Fri) | vs Colorado State (4-8, 3-5) | W 17-7 | 4.20 | 4.49 | -0.29 | 42.60%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Air Force (11-2, 7-1) | L 6-20 | 4.41 | 4.84 | -0.43 | 39.17%
| -2 |
| Dec 31December 31 (Tue) | at Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) * | W 38-17 | 7.18 | 5.46 | +1.72 | 87.04%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 5.49 | 5.03 | +0.464 | 7.31-5.69 (+0.69) | +5 |