| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | W 38-30 | 4.57 | 5.69 | -1.12 | 23.45%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #11 Furman (8-5, 6-2) | W 48-42 | 7.45 | 7.85 | -0.40 | 39.82%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Western Michigan (7-6, 5-3) | L 10-57 | 5.09 | 10.68 | -5.59 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | L 34-37 | 4.55 | 4.67 | -0.12 | 46.98%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 52-38 | 7.29 | 7.52 | -0.22 | 44.28%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 31-21 | 5.90 | 5.55 | +0.35 | 58.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Army (5-8) | W 28-21 | 6.32 | 4.76 | +1.55 | 84.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 52-33 | 7.06 | 7.49 | -0.43 | 39.12%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | L 31-45 | 6.62 | 7.47 | -0.85 | 29.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs #25 Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | L 27-56 | 5.14 | 6.91 | -1.77 | 12.19%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 28-15 | 5.12 | 5.09 | +0.03 | 50.65%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-3) | L 10-38 | 4.53 | 6.18 | -1.64 | 14.02%
| 0 |
| Dec 31December 31 (Tue) | vs Wyoming (8-5, 4-4) * | L 17-38 | 5.46 | 7.18 | -1.72 | 12.94%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.83 | 6.68 | -0.855 | 4.56-8.44 (+2.44) | +1 |