| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Duquesne (8-3, 5-1) | W 45-10 | 8.59 | 4.35 | +4.24 | 99.20%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at West Virginia (10-3, 7-2) | L 21-38 | 5.55 | 7.90 | -2.35 | 5.96%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Robert Morris (2-9, 1-5) | W 38-6 | | | | | |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs South Dakota (4-7, 3-5) | W 30-20 | 5.70 | 3.85 | +1.85 | 88.85%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at #23 Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | W 20-6 | 5.21 | 4.24 | +0.98 | 73.54%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #21 Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | W 14-10 | 3.39 | 3.68 | -0.29 | 42.54%
| -3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #11 South Dakota State (9-4, 7-2) | L 10-24 | 4.64 | 6.36 | -1.72 | 12.96%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Indiana State (4-7, 2-6) | W 13-10 | 4.62 | 3.10 | +1.52 | 84.03%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at #4 North Dakota State (12-2, 8-1) | L 3-24 | 4.49 | 7.48 | -2.99 | 3.11%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | W 21-14 | | | | | |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Missouri State (4-7, 2-6) | W 65-20 | 10.52 | 4.12 | +6.40 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs #24 Samford (7-5, 5-3) | W 38-24 | 5.99 | 5.82 | +0.16 | 54.11%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Jacksonville State (10-2, 7-0) | W 40-24 | 8.81 | 6.09 | +2.72 | 96.13%
| +2 |
| Dec 10December 10 | vs Wofford (10-4, 7-2) | W 30-23 | 5.74 | 4.64 | +1.10 | 76.04%
| -1 |
| Dec 17December 17 | at Eastern Washington (12-2, 8-0) | W 40-38 | 6.33 | 8.54 | -2.21 | 7.12%
| +1 |
| Jan 7January 7 | at James Madison (14-1, 9-0) * | L 14-28 | 3.70 | 4.44 | -0.74 | 31.68%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-4, 6-2 | 5.90 | 5.33 | +0.575 | 7.75-6.25 (+4.25) | -2 |