| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) | L 21-48 | 5.05 | 9.04 | -4.00 | 1.99%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Weber State (7-5, 7-2) | W 52-49 | 4.63 | 5.49 | -0.85 | 29.15%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at North Dakota (9-3, 8-0) | L 44-47 | 4.98 | 5.67 | -0.69 | 32.87%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at #15 Youngstown State (12-4, 6-2) | L 20-30 | 3.85 | 5.70 | -1.85 | 11.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs #11 Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | W 28-25 | 7.86 | 4.85 | +3.01 | 96.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Indiana State (4-7, 2-6) | W 33-30 | 4.32 | 5.61 | -1.30 | 19.94%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | W 27-24 | 4.57 | 6.24 | -1.67 | 13.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #15 Western Illinois (6-5, 3-5) | L 34-35 | 5.86 | 6.88 | -1.02 | 25.44%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 28-35 | | | | | |
| Nov 12November 12 | at #12 South Dakota State (9-4, 7-2) | L 21-28 | 4.84 | 8.63 | -3.79 | 2.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs #4 North Dakota State (12-2, 8-1) | L 21-28 | 5.00 | 7.26 | -2.26 | 6.66%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 3-5 | 5.00 | 6.49 | -1.492 | 2.40-7.60 (+1.60) | +6 |