| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | vs #6 Charleston Southern (7-4, 4-1) | W 24-17 | 5.97 | 4.87 | +1.10 | 76.16%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #8 Eastern Washington (12-2, 8-0) | W 50-44 | 7.26 | 7.41 | -0.16 | 46.01%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #13 Iowa (8-5, 6-3) | W 23-21 | 5.34 | 4.71 | +0.62 | 65.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #20 Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | W 31-10 | 6.82 | 5.48 | +1.33 | 80.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Missouri State (4-7, 2-6) | W 27-3 | 6.59 | 2.89 | +3.70 | 97.43%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #14 South Dakota State (9-4, 7-2) | L 17-19 | 5.43 | 6.71 | -1.28 | 20.34%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #13 Western Illinois (6-5, 3-5) | W 21-13 | 5.85 | 4.48 | +1.37 | 81.35%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | W 24-20 | 5.49 | 4.37 | +1.12 | 76.59%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #13 Youngstown State (12-4, 6-2) | W 24-3 | 7.48 | 4.49 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Indiana State (4-7, 2-6) | W 41-17 | 6.20 | 3.30 | +2.90 | 96.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at South Dakota (4-7, 3-5) | W 28-21 | 7.26 | 5.00 | +2.26 | 93.34%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs San Diego (10-2, 8-0) | W 45-7 | 9.94 | 4.35 | +5.59 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Dec 10December 10 | vs South Dakota State (9-4, 7-2) | W 36-10 | 6.71 | 4.92 | +1.79 | 88.07%
| +1 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Fri) | vs James Madison (14-1, 9-0) | L 17-27 | 4.52 | 7.64 | -3.12 | 2.92%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 8-1 | 6.42 | 5.07 | +1.342 | 10.22-3.78 (+1.78) | +11 |