| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Incarnate Word (1-10, 1-7) | W 66-0 | 7.96 | 2.16 | +5.81 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at #1 Alabama (13-1, 8-1) | L 10-41 | 4.33 | 7.53 | -3.20 | 2.84%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #6 Washington (10-3, 7-2) | L 16-48 | 4.67 | 7.24 | -2.57 | 4.57%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Nevada (3-9, 3-5) | W 41-21 | 7.10 | 4.36 | +2.74 | 96.19%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at San José State (2-11, 1-7) | W 27-10 | 4.52 | 3.48 | +1.04 | 74.99%
| +4 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 38-0 | 8.92 | 4.81 | +4.11 | 98.46%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at San Diego State (10-3, 6-2) | W 27-3 | 6.94 | 4.11 | +2.83 | 96.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs UNLV (5-7, 4-4) | L 16-26 | 4.79 | 4.49 | +0.29 | 57.41%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs BYU (4-9) | W 20-13 | 5.17 | 4.80 | +0.37 | 59.23%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-21 | 5.57 | 4.00 | +1.57 | 84.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Wyoming (8-5, 5-3) | W 13-7 | 4.90 | 5.05 | -0.15 | 46.12%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs #23 Boise State (11-3, 8-1) | W 28-17 | 6.53 | 5.99 | +0.55 | 63.61%
| 0 |
| Dec 2December 2 | at Boise State (11-3, 8-1) | L 14-17 | 4.48 | 5.20 | -0.72 | 32.16%
| -1 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Sun) | at Houston (7-5, 5-3) * | W 33-27 | 5.38 | 4.67 | +0.70 | 67.39%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-4, 7-2 | 5.78 | 4.86 | +0.921 | 8.84-5.16 (+1.16) | +8 |