| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at West Virginia (8-5, 4-5) | L 0-44 | 3.20 | 8.24 | -5.04 | 0.00%
| -5 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | W 43-17 | 7.50 | 4.07 | +3.44 | 97.29%
| +4 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs The Citadel (9-4, 6-1) | W 48-13 | 7.12 | 5.73 | +1.39 | 81.76%
| +4 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 44-20 | 8.35 | 5.76 | +2.60 | 95.57%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-11, 1-7) | W 51-31 | 6.53 | 4.50 | +2.03 | 91.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 56-26 | 8.84 | 5.85 | +2.99 | 96.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Thu) | at Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | L 13-31 | 4.94 | 6.37 | -1.43 | 17.60%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Thu) | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-13 | 7.32 | 3.67 | +3.64 | 97.39%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-10 | 5.62 | 5.06 | +0.55 | 63.79%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Georgia (10-3, 5-3) | L 17-23 | 4.62 | 5.69 | -1.07 | 24.37%
| +1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 3-5) | W 55-17 | 8.60 | 2.47 | +6.13 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Georgia State (6-7, 5-3) | L 7-34 | 3.22 | 7.09 | -3.86 | 2.34%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Wed) | at Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) * | W 58-27 | 7.03 | 5.75 | +1.28 | 79.70%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 6.41 | 5.48 | +0.925 | 8.48-4.52 (+0.52) | +6 |