| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Arkansas (3-9, 0-8) | L 14-34 | 4.35 | 7.05 | -2.70 | 3.94%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Kansas State (8-5, 5-4) | L 27-48 | 5.21 | 6.39 | -1.18 | 22.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Nicholls (4-8, 1-6) | W 70-7 | 8.99 | 4.18 | +4.81 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Akron (5-7, 4-4) | W 35-30 | 5.68 | 6.50 | -0.82 | 29.88%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | W 48-24 | 7.53 | 4.17 | +3.36 | 97.26%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | at Western Kentucky (8-4, 4-3) | W 37-20 | 5.38 | 7.03 | -1.65 | 13.86%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) | W 23-7 | 5.47 | 3.65 | +1.81 | 88.39%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs New Mexico State (2-10) | W 49-35 | 8.46 | 5.77 | +2.69 | 96.01%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Thu) | vs Troy (6-6, 4-3) | W 41-36 | 6.63 | 5.58 | +1.05 | 75.06%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 35-21 | 7.77 | 5.80 | +1.98 | 90.48%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | L 28-31 | 6.20 | 6.46 | -0.26 | 43.35%
| -3 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | L 8-30 | 3.59 | 4.78 | -1.18 | 22.16%
| -4 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs Tulane (7-6, 5-3) * | W 24-21 | 4.85 | 6.69 | -1.84 | 11.25%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-2 | 6.14 | 5.76 | +0.375 | 6.94-6.06 (+2.06) | +1 |