| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | at #11 Michigan State (7-6, 5-4) | L 31-38 | 4.99 | 6.03 | -1.04 | 25.06%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs New Mexico State (3-9) | W 60-13 | 5.79 | 3.42 | +2.38 | 94.23%
| +3 |
| Sep 13September 13 (Thu) | vs Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 73-12 | 8.07 | 3.39 | +4.68 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Air Force (5-7, 3-5) | W 42-32 | 7.89 | 4.40 | +3.49 | 97.31%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Fri) | at BYU (7-6) | W 45-20 | 5.47 | 5.55 | -0.09 | 47.72%
| +3 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | W 59-28 | 8.67 | 4.81 | +3.86 | 97.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Wyoming (6-6, 4-4) | W 24-16 | 3.18 | 4.47 | -1.29 | 20.04%
| +1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 61-19 | 7.74 | 4.34 | +3.39 | 97.28%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Hawai'i (8-6, 5-3) | W 56-17 | 8.21 | 5.74 | +2.48 | 94.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs San José State (1-11, 1-7) | W 62-24 | 8.93 | 6.45 | +2.48 | 94.93%
| +3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 29-24 | 5.96 | 6.17 | -0.21 | 44.68%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at #23 Boise State (10-3, 7-2) | L 24-33 | 6.31 | 6.61 | -0.30 | 42.32%
| -1 |
| Dec 15December 15 | at North Texas (9-4, 5-3) * | W 52-13 | 6.70 | 4.19 | +2.51 | 95.11%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 7-1 | 6.87 | 5.01 | +1.861 | 9.51-3.49 (+1.49) | +15 |