| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Fri) | vs Rice (3-9, 3-5) | W 14-7 | 4.44 | 5.52 | -1.09 | 24.14%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #7 Michigan (9-4, 6-3) | L 21-24 | 3.68 | 4.47 | -0.79 | 30.54%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-13 | 6.28 | 4.33 | +1.95 | 90.10%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Morgan State (3-9, 2-6) | W 52-21 | 6.36 | 5.13 | +1.22 | 78.58%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Tulane (7-6, 3-5) | L 33-42 | 5.34 | 7.10 | -1.76 | 12.37%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 8-17 | 4.33 | 4.51 | -0.17 | 45.59%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | L 21-28 | 4.76 | 6.32 | -1.55 | 15.46%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs San José State (5-7, 2-6) | L 29-34 | 5.17 | 8.20 | -3.04 | 3.03%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Air Force (11-2, 7-1) | L 13-17 | 6.60 | 5.46 | +1.14 | 76.86%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs UMass (1-11) | W 63-7 | 6.50 | 2.66 | +3.84 | 97.62%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs VMI (5-7, 4-4) | W 47-6 | 8.93 | 4.67 | +4.26 | 99.34%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Hawai'i (10-5, 5-4) | L 31-52 | 7.27 | 8.20 | -0.93 | 27.46%
| -2 |
| Dec 14December 14 | at #23 Navy (11-2, 7-1) * | L 7-31 | 2.79 | 7.07 | -4.28 | 0.49%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-8 | 5.67 | 5.65 | +0.025 | 6.02-6.98 (-1.02) | -1 |