Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Vanderbilt (5-7, 1-7) | L 6-28 | 3.77 | 5.83 | -2.05 | 8.68%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Syracuse (4-8, 2-6) | W 30-23 | 5.26 | 3.31 | +1.95 | 90.12%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Minnesota (5-7, 2-7) | L 3-34 | 4.04 | 5.28 | -1.24 | 21.01%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Bowling Green (2-10, 2-6) | W 24-13 | 7.11 | 4.44 | +2.67 | 95.92%
| -3 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 9-0) | L 20-38 | 5.97 | 5.56 | +0.42 | 60.47%
| -3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 37-17 | 6.55 | 4.37 | +2.18 | 92.61%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at UAB (8-5, 6-2) | L 23-25 | 5.18 | 5.79 | -0.60 | 34.97%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Fri) | vs Marshall (8-5, 4-4) | L 10-38 | 4.27 | 5.30 | -1.04 | 25.11%
| -2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs UTEP (0-12, 0-8) | W 30-3 | 6.06 | 2.49 | +3.57 | 97.35%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 35-21 | 6.35 | 5.74 | +0.61 | 65.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Fri) | at Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) | L 38-41 | 5.46 | 6.18 | -0.73 | 32.01%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-10 | 7.33 | 5.08 | +2.24 | 93.15%
| -2 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Arkansas State (7-5, 6-2) * | W 35-30 | 5.50 | 4.76 | +0.74 | 68.16%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.68 | 4.95 | +0.735 | 7.85-5.15 (-0.85) | -12 |