| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Alabama A&M (4-7, 4-4) | W 59-0 | 7.59 | 3.26 | +4.32 | 99.86%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Liberty (8-5, 2-1) | L 14-21 | 6.12 | 6.00 | +0.12 | 53.05%
| -3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 35-21 | 6.56 | 5.04 | +1.52 | 83.97%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Rice (5-8, 3-5) | L 24-28 | 5.54 | 3.94 | +1.60 | 85.20%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | W 41-14 | 8.94 | 4.10 | +4.84 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-20 | 6.71 | 6.54 | +0.17 | 54.31%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Fri) | at Western Kentucky (9-5, 6-2) | L 17-20 | 6.35 | 5.25 | +1.10 | 76.12%
| -3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | L 17-24 | 6.21 | 5.98 | +0.23 | 55.74%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs UTSA (11-3, 9-0) | L 38-44 | 7.09 | 6.68 | +0.41 | 60.41%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | W 41-21 | 6.82 | 4.33 | +2.50 | 95.02%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at #6 LSU (10-4, 6-3) | L 10-41 | 4.54 | 7.85 | -3.30 | 2.77%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-27 | 8.72 | 6.15 | +2.57 | 95.46%
| 0 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Fri) | vs Miami (OH) (6-7, 4-4) * | W 24-20 | 5.91 | 4.25 | +1.66 | 86.19%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.71 | 5.33 | +1.377 | 9.48-3.52 (-2.48) | 0 |