| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at Southeastern Louisiana (8-5, 6-3) | L 14-35 | 6.25 | 6.10 | +0.15 | 53.83%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Chattanooga (6-6, 5-3) | W 41-20 | 7.49 | 4.59 | +2.89 | 96.69%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #5 Eastern Washington (7-5, 5-3) | W 49-45 | 5.63 | 5.33 | +0.30 | 57.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs North Alabama (4-7, 3-4) | W 30-12 | 5.83 | 5.18 | +0.65 | 66.10%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Austin Peay (11-4, 7-1) | L 33-52 | 4.78 | 6.56 | -1.79 | 11.95%
| -4 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Tennessee State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-23 | 6.07 | 7.34 | -1.28 | 20.30%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Eastern Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 28-20 | 5.34 | 4.40 | +0.94 | 72.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | L 21-24 | 5.41 | 4.31 | +1.11 | 76.26%
| -4 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Murray State (4-8, 2-6) | W 14-12 | 5.19 | 4.37 | +0.82 | 70.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 17-22 | 5.17 | 6.07 | -0.90 | 28.13%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Tennessee Tech (6-6, 3-5) | L 27-37 | 7.55 | 5.77 | +1.79 | 88.02%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 5-3) | L 23-29 | 6.31 | 4.83 | +1.48 | 83.25%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 3-5 | 5.89 | 5.36 | +0.525 | 7.25-4.75 (-1.25) | -9 |