| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | L 24-41 | 5.68 | 6.37 | -0.69 | 33.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs #21 Florida A&M (12-1, 9-0) | W 38-24 | 4.22 | 5.46 | -1.24 | 21.12%
| +5 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs #10 Alabama (12-2, 9-0) | L 3-17 | 3.57 | 4.77 | -1.20 | 21.79%
| -1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Rice (6-7, 4-4) | W 42-29 | 8.53 | 7.03 | +1.50 | 83.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Navy (5-7, 4-4) | W 44-30 | 5.58 | 5.59 | -0.02 | 49.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at UAB (4-8, 3-5) | L 35-56 | 5.82 | 7.90 | -2.08 | 8.38%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | L 14-56 | 5.39 | 7.53 | -2.14 | 7.82%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Connecticut (3-9, 1-0) | W 24-21 | 5.26 | 5.58 | -0.31 | 42.03%
| +3 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Memphis (10-3, 6-2) | L 50-59 | 6.78 | 8.17 | -1.39 | 18.25%
| -2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Temple (3-9, 1-7) | W 27-23 | 5.64 | 5.33 | +0.31 | 57.79%
| +3 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Fri) | at UT San Antonio (9-4, 7-1) | L 21-49 | 5.68 | 7.41 | -1.73 | 12.72%
| -2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-14 | 7.29 | 4.38 | +2.91 | 96.72%
| +2 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Thu) | at Syracuse (6-7, 2-6) * | W 45-0 | 5.43 | 2.45 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.73 | 6.09 | -0.354 | 5.50-7.50 (+1.50) | +3 |