| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs South Florida (7-6, 4-4) | W 41-24 | 6.37 | 5.68 | +0.69 | 66.96%
| +3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Houston Christian (6-5, 4-3) | W 52-22 | 6.87 | 5.75 | +1.12 | 76.60%
| +3 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #6 Ohio State (11-2, 8-1) | L 10-63 | 3.94 | 9.37 | -5.42 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-27 | 5.43 | 6.43 | -1.00 | 25.98%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 (Thu) | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-10 | 5.55 | 5.11 | +0.44 | 61.06%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Thu) | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-28 | 6.87 | 5.03 | +1.85 | 88.83%
| +1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Tue) | at Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-20 | 4.71 | 5.10 | -0.39 | 40.24%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Tue) | vs Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 29-42 | 7.33 | 7.13 | +0.20 | 55.13%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | W 21-13 | 5.39 | 5.75 | -0.37 | 40.76%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | L 29-38 | 6.52 | 6.02 | +0.51 | 62.66%
| -1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-23 | 6.58 | 4.93 | +1.65 | 86.00%
| -3 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 41-28 | 5.58 | 4.30 | +1.28 | 79.61%
| +2 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Mon) | at Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) * | W 38-35 | 5.18 | 6.02 | -0.84 | 29.38%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.84 | 5.82 | +0.019 | 7.13-5.87 (+0.87) | +2 |