| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at #18 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 7-1) | L 26-44 | 5.69 | 7.15 | -1.46 | 17.06%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at UMass (1-11) | W 45-20 | 7.17 | 4.34 | +2.83 | 96.52%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | W 28-14 | 5.59 | 4.93 | +0.66 | 66.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 28-41 | 6.49 | 7.90 | -1.41 | 17.96%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #3 South Dakota State (8-5, 5-4) | L 10-28 | 3.41 | 6.90 | -3.48 | 2.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs #13 Illinois State (10-5, 5-4) | L 7-21 | 5.34 | 5.69 | -0.35 | 41.05%
| -2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #18 Youngstown State (6-6, 2-6) | W 35-10 | 6.19 | 3.49 | +2.70 | 96.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at South Dakota (5-7, 4-4) | W 48-28 | 7.10 | 5.70 | +1.40 | 81.89%
| +4 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Indiana State (5-7, 3-5) | W 23-14 | 5.11 | 4.29 | +0.81 | 69.88%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Missouri State (1-10, 1-7) | W 37-14 | 8.54 | 3.87 | +4.67 | 100.00%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Western Illinois (1-11, 1-7) | W 45-21 | 6.91 | 4.04 | +2.87 | 96.61%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs #1 North Dakota State (16-0, 9-0) | L 7-21 | 5.31 | 5.77 | -0.46 | 38.50%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 6.13 | 5.29 | +0.845 | 7.24-4.76 (-0.24) | +1 |