| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs SMU (10-3, 6-2) | L 30-37 | 5.60 | 5.40 | +0.19 | 54.81%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | W 43-17 | 6.23 | 4.41 | +1.81 | 88.40%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #3 Georgia (12-2, 7-2) | L 0-55 | 3.24 | 9.94 | -6.70 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) | W 41-28 | 7.90 | 6.49 | +1.41 | 82.02%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 50-43 | 7.97 | 5.41 | +2.56 | 95.40%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | L 38-52 | 7.52 | 7.29 | +0.22 | 55.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Thu) | vs Louisiana (11-3, 7-2) | L 20-37 | 5.70 | 6.99 | -1.29 | 20.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-14 | 4.49 | 4.45 | +0.04 | 51.07%
| +3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 48-41 | 6.95 | 5.90 | +1.05 | 75.12%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 28-27 | 6.60 | 4.58 | +2.02 | 90.93%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-3) | W 38-33 | 7.95 | 6.33 | +1.62 | 85.55%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | L 30-34 | 5.68 | 6.27 | -0.59 | 35.26%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs Florida International (6-7, 3-5) * | W 34-26 | 5.90 | 6.00 | -0.10 | 47.41%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.18 | 6.11 | +0.075 | 7.82-5.18 (+0.18) | -3 |