| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Mon) | vs #9 Notre Dame (11-2) | L 17-35 | 5.11 | 6.51 | -1.40 | 18.05%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-0 | 9.35 | 2.92 | +6.43 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) * | W 38-21 | 6.19 | 4.11 | +2.08 | 91.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Florida State (6-7, 4-4) | L 24-35 | 5.47 | 6.96 | -1.49 | 16.45%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Boston College (6-7, 4-4) | W 41-39 | 8.51 | 7.22 | +1.29 | 79.98%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #19 Wake Forest (8-5, 4-4) | W 62-59 | 7.54 | 6.55 | +0.99 | 73.76%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #3 Clemson (14-1, 9-0) | L 10-45 | 4.05 | 7.87 | -3.83 | 2.42%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Virginia (9-5, 6-3) | W 28-21 | 6.10 | 4.57 | +1.53 | 84.11%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Miami (6-7, 4-4) | L 27-52 | 7.75 | 8.16 | -0.41 | 39.57%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at NC State (4-8, 1-7) | W 34-20 | 5.43 | 4.65 | +0.78 | 69.13%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Syracuse (5-7, 2-6) | W 56-34 | 9.97 | 6.62 | +3.34 | 97.26%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Kentucky (8-5, 3-5) | L 13-45 | 4.54 | 12.41 | -7.86 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Mon) | vs Mississippi State (6-7, 3-5) * | W 38-28 | 7.52 | 5.90 | +1.61 | 85.45%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.69 | 6.33 | +0.364 | 7.58-5.42 (+0.42) | -1 |