| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) * | L 3-14 | 3.55 | 4.26 | -0.70 | 32.57%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Navy (5-7) | L 14-40 | 4.46 | 8.11 | -3.65 | 2.62%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | L 16-44 | 5.63 | 7.93 | -2.30 | 6.35%
| -3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 22-26 | 5.23 | 6.27 | -1.04 | 25.09%
| -2 |
| Oct 6October 6 (Thu) | at Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 36-33 | 4.74 | 5.42 | -0.67 | 33.33%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 20-0 | 4.55 | 2.84 | +1.72 | 87.05%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | W 42-23 | 8.05 | 7.62 | +0.43 | 60.83%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-28 | 4.49 | 5.54 | -1.05 | 24.95%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 10-9 | 4.73 | 4.17 | +0.56 | 64.02%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at #1 LSU (13-1, 9-1) | L 9-42 | 3.52 | 8.22 | -4.70 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | W 31-21 | 6.19 | 5.75 | +0.44 | 61.10%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-18 | 6.26 | 6.80 | -0.54 | 36.38%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 7-1 | 5.12 | 6.15 | -1.031 | 4.34-7.66 (+2.66) | -3 |