| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 19September 19 | vs #19 Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) | L 31-34 | 4.60 | 6.83 | -2.22 | 7.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs East Carolina (3-6, 3-5) | W 49-29 | 6.75 | 3.74 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | L 52-59 | 7.67 | 6.34 | +1.33 | 80.58%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Troy (5-6, 3-4) | W 36-34 | 4.41 | 6.67 | -2.26 | 6.65%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs #20 Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 0-51 | 2.65 | 6.97 | -4.32 | 0.13%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 52-34 | 6.33 | 5.97 | +0.36 | 59.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Appalachian State (9-3, 6-2) | L 13-17 | 4.23 | 4.25 | -0.02 | 49.44%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at South Alabama (4-7, 3-5) | W 31-14 | 7.72 | 4.05 | +3.67 | 97.41%
| -3 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | W 30-24 | 5.69 | 6.49 | -0.80 | 30.40%
| 0 |
| Dec 26December 26 | vs Western Kentucky (5-7, 4-3) * | W 39-21 | 5.63 | 4.81 | +0.81 | 69.94%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-4, 4-4 | 5.67 | 5.61 | +0.062 | 4.97-5.03 (+1.03) | +1 |