| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | W 59-21 | 9.62 | 5.14 | +4.48 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Army (9-4) | L 35-38 | 8.09 | 5.70 | +2.39 | 94.29%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Indiana (2-10, 0-9) | L 31-33 | 7.16 | 5.51 | +1.65 | 85.98%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #17 Michigan State (11-2, 7-2) | L 31-48 | 6.18 | 7.11 | -0.93 | 27.41%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | L 46-52 | 7.53 | 7.42 | +0.11 | 52.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 43-20 | 6.43 | 5.72 | +0.71 | 67.46%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 34-19 | 6.71 | 4.20 | +2.51 | 95.08%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 3-5) | W 45-13 | 7.00 | 4.62 | +2.38 | 94.23%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 48-21 | 4.82 | 4.31 | +0.51 | 62.84%
| +7 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-21 | 8.15 | 5.93 | +2.22 | 92.99%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 52-17 | 7.80 | 4.36 | +3.43 | 97.29%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | W 53-21 | 5.92 | 4.11 | +1.80 | 88.23%
| +2 |
| Dec 3December 3 (Fri) | at UT San Antonio (12-2, 8-1) | L 41-49 | 7.47 | 6.62 | +0.85 | 70.85%
| -3 |
| Dec 18December 18 | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) * | W 59-38 | 8.49 | 7.81 | +0.69 | 66.96%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-2 | 7.18 | 5.63 | +1.542 | 10.96-3.04 (-1.96) | +11 |