| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | L 21-59 | 5.14 | 9.62 | -4.48 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Samford (4-7, 3-5) | W 33-27 | 5.39 | 4.54 | +0.86 | 70.86%
| -3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Northwestern State (3-8, 3-5) | W 35-10 | 6.65 | 5.16 | +1.49 | 83.43%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at #9 Jacksonville State (5-6, 3-3) | W 34-31 | 7.35 | 6.39 | +0.95 | 73.05%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | W 48-24 | 6.94 | 4.78 | +2.16 | 92.37%
| +2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 28-17 | 5.61 | 4.44 | +1.17 | 77.59%
| -1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 4-4) | W 38-30 | 6.62 | 7.07 | -0.45 | 38.74%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Austin Peay (6-5, 4-3) | W 17-16 | 4.22 | 3.26 | +0.96 | 73.17%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-3) | W 41-20 | 6.59 | 5.16 | +1.43 | 82.44%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-5) | W 42-3 | 9.06 | 4.26 | +4.80 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 4-4) | L 14-31 | 4.88 | 5.72 | -0.85 | 29.34%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at #10 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | W 32-31 | 4.63 | 5.53 | -0.90 | 28.12%
| +5 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at Montana State (12-3, 7-1) | L 7-26 | 3.12 | 5.48 | -2.35 | 5.95%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 6-1 | 5.78 | 5.49 | +0.290 | 7.55-5.45 (+2.45) | +5 |