| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Old Dominion (8-4) | W 52-38 | 6.33 | 6.13 | +0.20 | 54.94%
| +1 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Thu) | vs Florida Atlantic (6-6, 4-4) | W 31-13 | 4.88 | 3.81 | +1.06 | 75.39%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Virginia Tech (8-5, 5-3) | L 10-15 | 3.78 | 4.04 | -0.26 | 43.37%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at North Carolina (7-6, 4-4) | W 55-31 | 5.97 | 5.89 | +0.08 | 52.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 6-2) | W 24-17 | 5.21 | 4.84 | +0.37 | 59.41%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Tulane (7-6, 5-3) | L 33-36 | 6.03 | 4.56 | +1.47 | 83.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Southern Mississippi (1-11, 1-7) | W 55-14 | 5.41 | 3.64 | +1.77 | 87.78%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Florida International (1-11, 1-7) | W 34-13 | 6.78 | 3.51 | +3.27 | 97.22%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | W 58-24 | 5.81 | 4.32 | +1.48 | 83.36%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs UAB (2-10, 1-7) | W 63-14 | 8.22 | 5.21 | +3.02 | 96.95%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at NC State (3-9, 0-8) | W 42-28 | 6.27 | 5.31 | +0.95 | 73.05%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at Marshall (10-4, 7-2) | L 28-59 | 5.43 | 6.65 | -1.22 | 21.39%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Mon) | vs Ohio (7-6, 4-4) * | W 37-20 | 6.53 | 5.37 | +1.16 | 77.32%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 6-2 | 5.92 | 4.90 | +1.023 | 9.05-3.95 (+0.95) | +8 |