| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Rice (3-9, 2-6) | W 46-14 | 9.99 | 4.10 | +5.89 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #1 Alabama (14-1, 9-0) | L 10-38 | 3.98 | 5.86 | -1.88 | 10.70%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Miami (OH) (6-7, 6-2) | W 31-24 | 6.12 | 5.37 | +0.75 | 68.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Vanderbilt (6-7, 3-5) | L 30-31 | 6.80 | 5.48 | +1.32 | 80.37%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Houston Baptist (-) | W 50-3 | 10.29 | 2.84 | +7.45 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 (Thu) | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 6-3) | L 52-55 | 5.85 | 7.79 | -1.94 | 9.94%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | W 44-43 | 6.77 | 7.04 | -0.27 | 43.18%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | W 59-24 | 9.18 | 5.79 | +3.39 | 97.28%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 52-3 | 9.44 | 3.02 | +6.43 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | W 49-21 | 7.38 | 4.86 | +2.52 | 95.14%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs North Texas (5-8, 3-5) | W 45-7 | 7.34 | 4.38 | +2.96 | 96.84%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Marshall (3-9, 2-6) | W 60-6 | 7.57 | 3.11 | +4.47 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Louisiana Tech (9-5, 6-3) | W 58-44 | 9.11 | 6.42 | +2.69 | 96.02%
| -2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Tue) | vs Memphis (8-5, 5-3) * | W 51-31 | 7.67 | 6.06 | +1.60 | 85.35%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 7.65 | 5.20 | +2.446 | 10.83-3.17 (+0.17) | +2 |