| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs #24 Western Illinois (6-5, 3-5) | L 21-38 | 6.78 | 4.82 | +1.96 | 90.29%
| -3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Miami (OH) (6-7, 6-2) | W 21-17 | 4.45 | 6.11 | -1.66 | 13.83%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #5 Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | W 24-21 | 3.76 | 6.07 | -2.31 | 6.27%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 56-35 | 7.45 | 5.21 | +2.24 | 93.15%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | L 14-21 | 4.27 | 5.53 | -1.25 | 20.77%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Tennessee State (7-4, 4-3) | W 35-34 | 5.65 | 6.02 | -0.37 | 40.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Tennessee Tech (5-6, 5-3) | W 30-24 | 6.71 | 6.10 | +0.61 | 65.06%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Murray State (4-7, 4-4) | L 38-40 | 6.15 | 6.61 | -0.45 | 38.60%
| -6 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #2 Jacksonville State (10-2, 7-0) | L 14-47 | 3.85 | 6.25 | -2.40 | 5.58%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 17-33 | 4.43 | 3.83 | +0.60 | 64.92%
| -5 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | W 24-0 | 5.90 | 2.92 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-4 | 5.49 | 5.49 | +0.005 | 5.36-5.64 (+0.64) | -8 |