| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Mississippi State (6-7, 3-5) * | L 28-38 | 5.51 | 7.10 | -1.59 | 14.91%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Liberty (8-5) | W 35-14 | 8.35 | 5.39 | +2.96 | 96.85%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Texas Southern (0-11, 0-7) | W 77-6 | 10.54 | 3.47 | +7.06 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Ohio (7-6, 5-3) | W 45-25 | 6.43 | 5.76 | +0.68 | 66.75%
| +4 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-3) | W 37-24 | 7.33 | 3.71 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Wed) | vs Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | L 7-17 | 4.46 | 4.90 | -0.44 | 38.82%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 37-20 | 6.99 | 5.70 | +1.29 | 79.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-3 | 6.84 | 4.55 | +2.29 | 93.56%
| +1 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Thu) | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 48-7 | 7.73 | 4.29 | +3.44 | 97.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-27 | 5.36 | 7.20 | -1.84 | 11.18%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 53-3 | 7.77 | 4.79 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| +3 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 31-30 | 8.03 | 7.70 | +0.33 | 58.27%
| +1 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at #21 Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | L 38-45 | 6.11 | 6.12 | -0.01 | 49.71%
| -2 |
| Jan 6January 6 (Mon) | at Miami (OH) (8-6, 7-2) * | W 27-17 | 6.68 | 5.16 | +1.52 | 84.00%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 7-2 | 7.02 | 5.45 | +1.565 | 9.85-4.15 (+1.15) | +5 |