| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Campbell (6-5, 3-4) | W 43-14 | 7.99 | 2.47 | +5.52 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 5-3) | L 42-47 | 8.95 | 8.13 | +0.82 | 70.05%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Akron (0-12, 0-8) | W 35-7 | 5.11 | 4.84 | +0.27 | 56.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 43-50 | 5.41 | 7.97 | -2.56 | 4.60%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Missouri (6-6, 3-5) | L 10-42 | 3.20 | 7.03 | -3.83 | 2.40%
| -3 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | vs South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-13 | 5.27 | 3.86 | +1.41 | 82.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | L 33-52 | 7.49 | 7.06 | +0.43 | 60.84%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | L 35-36 | 7.46 | 5.67 | +1.80 | 88.16%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-3) | W 49-28 | 8.15 | 5.12 | +3.03 | 96.96%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 63-27 | 6.04 | 5.86 | +0.18 | 54.53%
| +4 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Louisiana (11-3, 7-2) | L 3-53 | 4.79 | 7.77 | -2.98 | 3.13%
| -3 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs #22 Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | L 13-48 | 4.91 | 7.25 | -2.34 | 6.07%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 6.13 | 6.20 | -0.071 | 6.26-5.74 (-1.26) | -2 |