| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #17 Michigan (7-6, 3-5) | L 9-59 | 3.68 | 6.81 | -3.12 | 2.91%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #11 New Hampshire (10-5, 7-2) | W 24-21 | 6.72 | 5.50 | +1.22 | 78.60%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at UNLV (7-6, 5-3) | L 21-31 | 4.85 | 5.79 | -0.94 | 27.17%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Toledo (7-5, 5-3) | L 17-38 | 5.69 | 6.33 | -0.64 | 34.05%
| -3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at NC State (3-9, 0-8) | L 14-48 | 4.11 | 6.71 | -2.60 | 4.43%
| -2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 21-9 | 4.74 | 4.52 | +0.22 | 55.53%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Ohio (7-6, 4-4) | W 26-23 | 5.92 | 6.27 | -0.35 | 41.05%
| +3 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #23 Northern Illinois (12-2, 8-1) | L 17-38 | 5.58 | 7.13 | -1.55 | 15.48%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Wed) | at Ball State (10-3, 7-1) | L 24-44 | 6.73 | 7.52 | -0.79 | 30.54%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Western Michigan (1-11, 1-7) | W 27-22 | 4.60 | 4.38 | +0.22 | 55.47%
| -4 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs UMass (1-11, 1-7) | W 37-0 | 5.23 | 3.15 | +2.08 | 91.62%
| +4 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 42-10 | 7.30 | 5.13 | +2.17 | 92.47%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 5-3 | 5.41 | 5.85 | -0.437 | 5.29-6.71 (+0.71) | -5 |