| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Charlotte (2-4, 2-2) | W 21-17 | 5.73 | 5.43 | +0.30 | 57.63% | +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at #22 Marshall (7-3, 4-2) | L 9-20 | 3.49 | 6.31 | -2.82 | 3.53% | +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs UT San Antonio (7-5, 4-2) | W 24-3 | 4.74 | 3.19 | +1.55 | 84.44% | 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Western Kentucky (5-7, 4-3) | W 10-6 | 4.40 | 3.84 | +0.57 | 64.15% | -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Fri) | at Florida International (0-5, 0-3) | W 38-19 | 6.89 | 4.46 | +2.43 | 94.61% | -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Fri) | vs UMass (0-4) | W 24-2 | 4.97 | 2.67 | +2.30 | 93.64% | +1 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | L 3-20 | 5.65 | 4.78 | +0.87 | 71.29% | -4 |
| Dec 10December 10 (Thu) | at Southern Mississippi (3-7, 2-4) | L 31-45 | 4.79 | 7.67 | -2.88 | 3.36% | +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Wed) | vs Memphis (8-3, 5-3) * | L 10-25 | 3.92 | 6.80 | -2.88 | 3.36% | +1 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 5-4, 4-2 | 4.91 | 5.05 | -0.135 | 4.76-4.24 (+0.24) | 0 |