| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | W 41-16 | 6.43 | 4.37 | +2.06 | 91.37%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 (Fri) | at Louisville (7-6, 5-2) | W 24-17 | 6.49 | 5.69 | +0.80 | 69.69%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs UCF (5-7, 3-5) | W 17-10 | 4.22 | 5.10 | -0.88 | 28.46%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 31-36 | 5.92 | 6.65 | -0.73 | 31.92%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Duke (3-9, 1-7) | L 27-31 | 7.13 | 5.91 | +1.23 | 78.67%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 27-17 | 6.26 | 5.00 | +1.26 | 79.35%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Tue) | at Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 16-34 | 4.70 | 5.74 | -1.04 | 25.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Tue) | vs Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 23-20 | 5.90 | 5.70 | +0.20 | 55.15%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | L 9-10 | 4.17 | 4.73 | -0.56 | 35.94%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 41-7 | 5.80 | 4.72 | +1.08 | 75.79%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-17 | 4.72 | 4.11 | +0.61 | 65.23%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 31-18 | | | | | |
| Dec 20December 20 (Tue) | at Marshall (7-6, 5-3) * | L 10-20 | 4.44 | 4.59 | -0.15 | 46.08%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.60 | 5.15 | +0.448 | 6.83-5.17 (+1.17) | +3 |