| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Grambling (9-2, 8-1) * | W 20-6 | 5.10 | 4.47 | +0.63 | 65.74%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Texas A&M (9-4, 6-2) | L 16-48 | 3.59 | 7.29 | -3.70 | 2.58%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Navy (9-4) | L 23-37 | 5.67 | 6.97 | -1.31 | 19.77%
| -2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Southern Mississippi (8-5, 5-3) | L 12-13 | 5.00 | 4.71 | +0.29 | 57.41%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Hawai'i (10-4, 7-1) | L 21-41 | 5.30 | 8.14 | -2.84 | 3.47%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Utah State (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-6 | 5.49 | 3.74 | +1.75 | 87.55%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Idaho (6-7, 3-5) | W 48-35 | 7.04 | 7.12 | -0.07 | 48.10%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Tue) | at #3 Boise State (12-1, 7-1) | L 20-49 | 4.70 | 7.53 | -2.83 | 3.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Fresno State (8-5, 5-3) | L 34-40 | 5.75 | 6.08 | -0.33 | 41.56%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-20 | 6.27 | 4.92 | +1.34 | 80.91%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at San José State (1-12, 0-8) | W 45-38 | 5.44 | 6.16 | -0.72 | 32.22%
| +3 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs #17 Nevada (13-1, 7-1) | L 17-35 | 5.21 | 6.73 | -1.52 | 16.06%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 5.39 | 6.20 | -0.804 | 4.59-7.41 (+0.41) | -3 |