| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #7 Oklahoma (12-2, 7-2) | L 24-31 | 6.07 | 5.47 | +0.60 | 64.87%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Idaho State (1-10, 0-8) | W 38-17 | 7.26 | 4.55 | +2.72 | 96.11%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Fresno State (8-5, 5-3) | L 24-41 | 4.91 | 5.70 | -0.79 | 30.59%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at San Diego State (9-4, 5-3) | L 7-41 | 3.90 | 8.13 | -4.23 | 0.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 (Fri) | vs BYU (7-6, 6-3) | W 31-16 | 6.03 | 4.43 | +1.60 | 85.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | L 6-24 | 3.74 | 5.49 | -1.75 | 12.43%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Hawai'i (10-4, 7-1) | L 7-45 | 3.05 | 8.50 | -5.45 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at #24 Nevada (13-1, 7-1) | L 42-56 | 6.61 | 8.22 | -1.61 | 14.49%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 27-22 | 4.63 | 4.75 | -0.12 | 46.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at San José State (1-12, 0-8) | W 38-34 | 5.82 | 7.74 | -1.93 | 10.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Idaho (6-7, 3-5) | L 6-28 | 3.47 | 5.19 | -1.72 | 12.95%
| -1 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at #11 Boise State (12-1, 7-1) | L 14-50 | 4.63 | 6.57 | -1.94 | 9.99%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 5.10 | 6.17 | -1.067 | 3.85-8.15 (+0.15) | -5 |