| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs North Dakota (3-8, 0-4) | W 45-0 | 7.80 | 4.06 | +3.74 | 97.47%
| +4 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #6 Nebraska (10-4, 6-3) | L 17-38 | 4.66 | 8.24 | -3.57 | 2.66%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs UNLV (2-11, 2-7) | W 30-7 | 5.30 | 4.63 | +0.68 | 66.73%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | L 34-36 | 7.54 | 7.82 | -0.28 | 42.80%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Western Michigan (6-6, 5-3) | W 33-13 | 5.94 | 3.00 | +2.94 | 96.79%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | L 35-48 | 7.12 | 7.04 | +0.07 | 51.86%
| +3 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-14 | 5.15 | 4.22 | +0.93 | 72.55%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Hawai'i (10-4, 7-1) | L 10-45 | 5.43 | 7.40 | -1.97 | 9.62%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs #23 Nevada (13-1, 7-1) | L 17-63 | 5.85 | 9.28 | -3.42 | 2.72%
| -4 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Fri) | vs #4 Boise State (12-1, 7-1) | L 14-52 | 4.33 | 6.33 | -2.00 | 9.22%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Utah State (4-8, 2-6) | W 28-6 | 5.19 | 3.47 | +1.72 | 87.04%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Fresno State (8-5, 5-3) | L 20-23 | 4.50 | 5.44 | -0.94 | 27.23%
| +3 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs San José State (1-12, 0-8) | W 26-23 | 6.42 | 7.39 | -0.97 | 26.51%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 5.79 | 6.13 | -0.347 | 5.93-7.07 (+0.07) | +2 |