| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #4 Oklahoma (8-5, 5-4) | L 16-48 | 3.77 | 5.89 | -2.12 | 7.96%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Louisiana (9-4, 7-1) | W 48-20 | 7.84 | 5.32 | +2.52 | 95.15%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 (Thu) | at North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | W 42-21 | 5.42 | 3.99 | +1.44 | 82.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Northwestern State (6-6, 4-4) | L 27-30 | 6.16 | 4.21 | +1.96 | 90.24%
| -3 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #5 Auburn (8-5, 4-4) | L 17-45 | 4.72 | 6.76 | -2.04 | 8.86%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs UTEP (7-6, 5-3) | W 55-3 | 7.38 | 3.50 | +3.88 | 97.70%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 27-20 | 4.09 | 4.50 | -0.41 | 39.61%
| +3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-20 | 6.29 | 4.64 | +1.65 | 86.08%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) | W 59-10 | 6.11 | 4.13 | +1.98 | 90.53%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at UAB (6-6, 4-4) | W 40-24 | 5.35 | 4.35 | +1.00 | 74.10%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Old Dominion (6-6, 4-4) | L 27-30 | 5.02 | 5.49 | -0.47 | 38.16%
| +2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Rice (8-5, 5-3) | W 76-31 | 9.54 | 5.15 | +4.38 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Dec 6December 6 | at Marshall (13-1, 8-1) | L 23-26 | 4.12 | 5.30 | -1.17 | 22.35%
| +2 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Fri) | vs Illinois (6-7, 3-5) * | W 35-18 | 6.12 | 5.64 | +0.48 | 62.06%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-2 | 5.86 | 4.94 | +0.926 | 8.95-5.05 (+0.05) | +16 |